Preview

IZVESTIYA OF TIMIRYAZEV AGRICULTURAL ACADEMY

Advanced search

Ensuring financial security of agro-industrial enterprises: an analysis and assessment

Abstract

Ensuring the financial security of agro-industrial enterprises is crucial for the sustainable development of the sector and the achievement of national goals. The four-stage methodological approach presented in this article for assessing the financial security of agro-industrial enterprises enables timely risk diagnosis and the development of effective mechanisms to mitigate internal and external threats, thereby protecting companies’ financial interests. The first stage, identifying vulnerabilities in the company’s financial security system, proposes key parameters for a rapid financial assessment and a bankruptcy prediction model. The conducted analysis and assessment of of the food industry enterprise’s financial condition revealed discrepancies in the results. Therefore, the second stage incorporates factors that consider investment and tax aspects in addition to financial metrics. Based on an analysis of various methodologies, an indicator method was selected, and an integral criterion, incorporating 15 specific measures, was developed to assess financial security. The number of indicators can be adjusted based on the specific conditions and goals of each enterprise. The integral indicator’s scale identifies three levels of security: low, medium, and high. To ensure high financial security and timely response to threats, the third stage recommends prioritizing significant risks using risk maps, spirals, and a bow-tie model. The results of the risk analysis will inform evidence-based measures to manage and minimize financial security risks.

About the Authors

N. Yu. Tryastsina
Russian State Agrarian University – Moscow Timiryazev Agricultural Academy
Russian Federation

Nina Yu. Tryastsina, CSc (Econ), Associate Professor at the Department of Economic Security and Law

49 Timiryazevskaya St., Moscow, 127550



M. K. Dzhikia
Russian State Agrarian University – Moscow Timiryazev Agricultural Academy
Russian Federation

Meri K. Dzhikiya, CSc (Econ), Senior Lecturer at the Department of Statistics and Cybernetics

49 Timiryazevskaya St., Moscow, 127550



N. A. Tryastsin
Russian State Agrarian University – Moscow Timiryazev Agricultural Academy
Russian Federation

Nikita A. Tryastsin, postgraduate student of the Department of Accounting, Finance and Taxation

49 Timiryazevskaya St., Moscow, 127550



References

1. Decree of the President of the Russian Federation dated May 7, 2024 No. 309 “On the National Development Goals of the Russian Federation for the Period up to 2030 and for the Perspective up to 2036”. (In Russ.) URL: https://www.consultant.ru/document/cons_doc_LAW_475991/ (accessed: May 15, 2025)

2. Resolution of the Government of the Russian Federation dated July 14, 2012 No. 717 (amended on April 30, 2025) “On the State Program for the Development of Agriculture and Regulation of Agricultural Products, Raw Materials and Food Markets”. (In Russ.) URL: https://www.consultant.ru/document/cons_doc_LAW_133795/?ysclid=maznmkqyi74190648 (accessed: May 15, 2025)

3. Federal State Statistics Service of the Russian Federation. (In Russ.) URL: https://rosstat.gov.ru (accessed: May 15, 2025)

4. Order of the Government of the Russian Federation dated September 8, 2022 No. 2567-r “Strategy for the Development of the Agro-Industrial and Fisheries Complexes until 2030”. (In Russ.) URL: https://www.garant.ru/ (accessed: May 15, 2025)

5. Senchagov V.K., Soloviev A.I. Global imbalances, risks and economic security of Russia. Finance: Theory and Practice. 2015;(6):19-29. (In Russ.)

6. Chekmarev V.V. Theory of economic security: evolutionary aspect. Economic Security. 2020;3(3):335-350. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.18334/ecsec.3.3.110587

7. Dontsova L.V., Nikiforova N.A. Analysis of financial statements. Moscow, Russia: Delo i Servis (DIS), 2008:358. (In Russ.)

8. Sheremet A.D., Sayfulin R.S. Methodology of financial analysis. Moscow, Russia: INFRA-M, 1995:172. (In Russ.)

9. Avdiyskiy V.I. Scientific-theoretical aspects of the risk-oriented approach in the system of economic security. Problems of Risk Analysis. 2017;(14(5)):20-29. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.32686/1812-5220-2017-14-5-20-29

10. Krylov S.I. Financial analysis: a study guide. Ekaterinburg, Russia: Ural Federal University named after the first President of Russia B.N. Yeltsin, 2016:160. (In Russ.)

11. Khoruzhy L.I., Tryascina N.Yu. Information and analytical support for investment security. Accounting in Agriculture. 2019;(6):72-83. (In Russ.)

12. Khoruzhy L.I., Tryastsin N.A., Dzhikiya M.K., Tryastsina N.Yu. Assessment of investment attractiveness of agricultural companies on the basis of ESG factors. Izvestiya of Timiryazev Agricultural Academy. 2024;(2):189-202. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.26897/0021-342X-2024-2-189-202

13. Savitskaya G.V. Analysis of the efficiency and risks of entrepreneurial activity. Moscow, Russia: Infra-M, 2015:272. (In Russ.)

14. Gaponenko V.F., Bespalko A.A. Economic security of enterprises. Approaches and principles. Moscow, Russia: Os’-89, 2007:208. (In Russ.)

15. Altman E.I. Financial Ratios, Discriminant Analysis and the Prediction of Corporate Bankruptcy. Journal of Finance. 1968;23(4):589-609. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1968.tb00843.x

16. Beaver W.H. Financial Rations and Predictions of Failure. Empirical Research in Accounting Selected Studies. 1996;(3):12-16.

17. Fulmer J.G.Jr., Moon J.E., Gavin T.A. et al. A Bankruptcy Classification Model for Small Firms. Journal of Commercial Bank Lending. 1984;7:25-37.

18. Financial statements of AO “Karat”. URL: https:// https://bo.nalog.gov.ru/organizations-card/4297325 (accessed on May 19, 2025)

19. Davydova G.V., Belikova A.Yu. Methodology for quantitative assessment of enterprise bankruptcy risk. Upravlenie riskom. 1999;(3):13-20. (In Russ.)

20. Trukhachev V.I., Khoruzhy L.I., Tryastsina N.Yu. Accounting and Analytical Support in Integrated Reporting. In: Unlocking Digital Transformation of Agricultural Enterprises. Technology Advances, Digital Ecosystems, and Innovative Firm Governance. Cham.: Springer, 2023:275-282.


Review

For citations:


Tryastsina N.Yu., Dzhikia M.K., Tryastsin N.A. Ensuring financial security of agro-industrial enterprises: an analysis and assessment. IZVESTIYA OF TIMIRYAZEV AGRICULTURAL ACADEMY. 2025;(3):187-201. (In Russ.)

Views: 16


Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.


ISSN 0021-342X (Print)